Liberal Candidate for MPP, Scarborough Southwest
"Let's Lead Together"
A community-rooted outsider campaign built on credibility, immigrant success, and local representation.
Liberal Nomination Winner • Vice-Chair, LPC Ontario • Entrepreneur
Bangladeshi-Canadian entrepreneur and organizer with deep community ties. His nomination win over an establishment favourite shows he can mobilize voters, build momentum, and turn grassroots energy into victory.
"I came to Canada with a dream. I built businesses, created jobs, and now I want to build a better Scarborough Southwest together."Ahsanul Hafiz, nomination victory remarks, May 9, 2026
The nomination win proves electability. The federal Liberal result proves the Liberal brand can dominate here when paired with authentic community representation.
Federal strength and provincial opportunity define the opening map.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | Percent | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LPC | Doly Begum | 17,045 | 69.60% | Winner |
| NDP | Doly Begum | 15,234 | 42.89% | Winner |
| OLP | Ontario Liberal candidate | 8,145 | 22.94% | Baseline |
The campaign must hold federal Liberal voters, convert Doly's personal supporters, and grow turnout among immigrant and working-family voters.
The coalition is multilingual, immigrant-heavy, and turnout-sensitive.
A core organizing base. Bengali-language outreach, mosque engagement, family networks, and local business connections can drive turnout.
Multilingual materials and direct outreach through trusted community organizations are required to convert familiarity into votes.
Affordability, jobs, rent, transit, healthcare, and school access should anchor the message.
These are the neighbourhoods where persuasion and turnout determine the by-election.
| Poll | Our share | Opponent share | Margin | Priority | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ionview | 35.4% | 38.3% | -2.9% | Critical | Target soft Conservatives with cost-of-living, safety, and business credibility. |
| Warden Woods | 34.8% | 41.1% | -6.3% | Critical | Win over former NDP supporters through affordability and trusted local validators. |
| Scarborough Junction | 35.2% | 42.2% | -7.0% | Critical | Lead with transit, renter concerns, newcomer outreach, and visible ground activity. |
| Kennedy Park | 39.0% | 30.7% | +8.3% | High | Maximize Bengali turnout through personal relationships and community leadership. |
Each area needs its own organizing frame and field tactics.
Focus on affordability, rent pressure, and door-to-door outreach in Bengali, Tamil, and Tagalog.
Use transit, settlement services, and renter messaging to reach newcomers and progressive persuadables.
Lean into entrepreneurship, family security, and household cost relief for South Asian homeowners.
These are base-turnout zones. Focus on signs, calls, repeat contact, and strong election-day organization.
A winning coalition can be built from five disciplined vote streams.
Protect core neighbourhoods and convert known supporters into committed votes.
Make the case that practical local leadership matters more than old partisan habits.
Use Bengali, Tamil, and Hindi community relationships to drive persuasion and turnout.
Translate the platform, show up in community spaces, and make the campaign visible and accessible.
Turn daily commute frustration into support through a simple, local, concrete transit pitch.
A 35-day structure focused on voter identification, persuasion, and final-week turnout.
Defeat the establishment favourite and consolidate the grassroots coalition.
Knock doors, grow volunteers, and build multilingual voter contact capacity.
Target undecideds with neighbourhood-specific messages, endorsements, and local events.
Pull every supporter, staff the polls, and push advance voting hard.
The campaign story can scale from a local win to a broader Ontario leadership frame.
"Ontario Liberals need renewal from the grassroots, not from the establishment. I built a life here, built businesses, created jobs, and now I want to rebuild trust in public life together."Leadership messaging framework
Outsider credibility, immigrant success story, business experience, party organizing knowledge, and strong GTA community roots.
Province-wide name recognition, fundraising scale, policy depth, and the need to broaden appeal beyond Scarborough.